The Cabinet Conundrum: President Prabowo’s Coalition Challenge

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Summary

  • The upcoming government cabinet formation won't be an easy task due to the numerous supporting pillars that underpin Prabowo’s victory in the presidential election. Based on the information we’ve received, at least six columns of supporters need representation in the cabinet.
  • To accommodate the numerous political forces supporting it, based on the information we have received, there are plans to modify the cabinet nomenclature by separating several ministries that are currently merged under Jokowi’s administration.
  • In terms of allocation, Golkar and Gerindra are expected to receive five ministers in the cabinet. Demokrat will have four ministers, and PAN will have three. Additionally, smaller parties supporting Prabowo, who did not secure parliamentary seats, will each receive one ministerial position and a deputy minister.
  • Based on the information we’ve received, Prabowo aims to include PDI-P, Nasdem, and PKB in the cabinet. There have been communications with these three parties, and Nasdem and PKB have reportedly shown enthusiasm.

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